I think what it comes down to is with Ancient strategy is very similar to what happened with the Asgard against the replicators. They need to do something that required risks, the ancients, as well as the asgard, would never have done something like that with the ship with one ZPM. The Ancients were so smart that they would actually know the calculations to a "calculated risk." Taking chances and long shots is what has kept the people in Atlantis alive so far.
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